Former US President Donald Trump has the best chance of winning the 2024 election and returning to the White House.

A UK-based betting exchange company called Smarkets predicted that Trump, for the first time, was ahead of his predecessor Joe Biden.

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Biden, who is in second place with 19% of the vote according to a poll conducted by the website, is followed by Vice President Kamala Harris with 13% of the vote.

Poll shows Trump has a 45% chance of winning the GOP primary. He is the candidate most likely to become the Republican nominee in the 2024 election.

Other possible candidates are Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley with 14% and 11% of the vote respectively.

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The company’s political market chief Matthew Shaddick said: “It’s a pretty staggering development to find a president defeated for a term succeeding the outgoing president who defeated him, but we now know that Donald Trump is no ordinary politician. “

“Many forecasters had predicted that health or legal issues could prevent Trump from being reelected, but the latest Smarkets awards imply that there is a two-in-three chance that he will run for the White House again in three. years, he said.

Trump has hinted at a possible presidential bid in 2024, attacking Biden and repeating his fraudulent claims that he won the 2020 election.

Trump’s flirtation with another race could freeze the Republican field for 2024 as other potential candidates grapple with whether they will have to compete with him.