‘It’s ours’: winter outbreak of COVID-19 leaves New York ‘for a tough race’, warns Hochul
Governor Kathy Hochul has warned that the winter outbreak of COVID-19 leading to increased infections is over the state, and she urged New Yorkers to get vaccinated or boosted and mask themselves.
” It’s ours. This winter surge is at its height and I think it’s going to get even stronger and more virulent, and we’re having a hard time this winter season, ”Hochul said during a briefing at the Capitol in Albany on Thursday the 16th. December.
The governor and his new health commissioner, Mary Bassett, have sounded the alarm about the most contagious Omicron variant, explaining how, even though it causes milder symptoms, it can still send more people in the hospital.
“If you have a lot of people infected, even a small proportion [of hospitalizations] will lead to big numbers, ”Bassett said.
The state’s top doctor cited a comparison of exponential spreads by Cornell University president Martha Pollack, which showed how the new strain could mean more hospitalizations.
The example plots the Delta variant if each case infects two other people and has a hospitalization rate of 10%, leading to 2,047 infections and 205 hospitalizations.
With Omicron, if it infects about four others per positive case but causes only 1% of hospitalizations, new cases quickly swell to nearly 1.4 million at the same time and 14,000 people end up in hospitals.
“People underestimate the power of Omicron because they say, ‘Well, people don’t really get sick, they’re not in hospitals,’” Hochul said. “Look at the percentages [Bassett] just showed us.
Cases have increased, especially in the upstate in recent weeks, still mainly because of Delta, but on Thursday figures showed the rate of COVID-19 had doubled in the past three days, the ministry said. of Health and Mental Hygiene of the city.
Mayor Bill de Blasio’s senior health adviser Jay Varma said the spike was unprecedented.
“Um, we’ve never seen this before,” Varma tweeted on Dec. 16.
Uh, we’ve never seen this before in #NYC.
Positivity test doubled in three days
12/9 – 3.9%
12/10 – 4.2%
11/12 – 6.4%
12/12 – 7.8%
Note:% test is for PCR only and NYC does more per capita daily than most places ~ 67,000 PCR / day + 19,000 [reported] antigen in the last days (1/2) pic.twitter.com/PhxsZq55jn
– Jay Varma (@DrJayVarma) December 16, 2021
City and state officials have put tougher measures in place amid the spread, and Hochul has defended his vaccine or mask mandate which went into effect statewide on Monday, despite the fact that some county leaders outside of New York have defied the order.
“It’s a crisis, it’s a health crisis and people are going to die. This is not hyperbole. This is based on the facts that are before us right now, ”she said. “If people had been vaccinated when we asked them and they received the reminders, I wouldn’t have had to put up a mask warrant. “